McNulty's Worlds Gold: The 32km Solo Bet
Yesterday we wrote about pacing Stage 8 into Nice as a âdeceptive flat stageâ â 171.9km that looked like a transition day and ended with two punchy climbs deciding everything. We got the shape of it right. We didnât predict that Demi Vollering would use that shape to seize the maillot jaune with a searing late attack, erasing a 15-second deficit in about six kilometers and flipping the entire Tour de France Femmes on its head one day before the finish.
Thatâs not a pacing story anymore. Ventoux was about holding one honest number for an hour. Nice was about staying sharp through a boring middle for a punchy finale. Col dâĂze, which decides the race today, is about rationing effort across four reps of the same hill. Volleringâs move on Stage 8 is a different skill entirely â producing a race-winning, sustained-hard attack after 165-plus kilometers of accumulated fatigue, on top of an already-selective finale that had just eliminated the sprinters. Thatâs not FTP. Thatâs not pacing discipline. Thatâs anaerobic capacity, and itâs trainable in a way most amateurs never actually train it.
Quick Verdict: Steady Pacing vs. the Late Attack
What It Tests Example From This Race Amateur Mistake What Actually Trains It Sustained threshold power Ventoux, one hour, no relief Surging early, blowing up mid-climb Long steady-state intervals at goal FTP Fatigue-managed pacing Col dâĂze, four reps of one climb Racing every lap the same Even splits, deliberately boring early reps Explosive power on fresh legs A short crit attack, a sprint from the gun Going too deep too early Standard VO2max and sprint intervals Explosive power on cooked legs Volleringâs Stage 8 attack, km 165+ Assuming thereâs nothing left to attack with Anaerobic work built deliberately on top of fatigue The lesson: The legs that win a race after five hours arenât the same legs â physiologically â as the ones that win it in the first twenty minutes. Training the second kind takes a different session than training the first.
Stage 8 ran 171.9km from Sisteron to Nice, and for most of it, the race behaved exactly like the flat, transitional stage its profile suggested. Then the finale arrived â the CĂ´te de Colomars, then the CĂ´te de la Ginestière, both inside the final 17 kilometers, both climbs weâd already flagged as the stageâs real decision point.
Volleringâs team, FDJ United-Suez, drove a hard enough tempo on the Ginestière to shed the sprinters outright. The real move came after that, on the Camin de lâArieta â a brutal, 450-meter wall averaging more than 13%, cresting less than 8km from the line. Vollering attacked right at the bottom of it. Elisa Longo Borghini closed back up to her with Kasia Niewiadoma-Phinney following on her wheel, but Vollering accelerated twice more and shook off both of them just before the top. The gap held and grew through the closing flat kilometers into Nice â Vollering finished alone on the Promenade des Anglais, with Longo Borghini crossing 17 seconds later and Niewiadoma-Phinney on the same time in third. Add the finish-line bonus seconds and the swing was complete: Vollering had turned a 15-second deficit â built when Niewiadoma-Phinney won on Mont Ventoux â into an 8-second lead, heading straight into todayâs decisive final stage over four ascents of the Col dâĂze.
What makes that attack worth a training post rather than just a race recap is where it happened. Not on fresh legs at kilometer 20, where anyone with a good sprint can win a bunch gallop. At kilometer 165-plus, after a full day of racing, on a climb that had just spent the fieldâs remaining matches shedding the sprinters. Winning a bike race from that position requires a specific physical capacity â and itâs one that steady climbing, the thing this race has mostly rewarded so far, doesnât build on its own.
Everything weâve covered in this race so far â Ventouxâs hour-long grind, Niceâs late sting, todayâs four laps of the Col dâĂze â comes down to threshold management. Hold the right percentage of FTP, donât overspend early, have something left for the part that matters. Thatâs a real skill, and itâs the one most structured training plans are built around.
Volleringâs move tests something adjacent but distinct: the ability to produce a hard, sustained anaerobic effort â not a five-second jump, a multi-minute attack that has to actually hold â after the aerobic system is already deeply fatigued. Sports scientists usually talk about this in terms of anaerobic work capacity, sometimes shorthanded as WⲠ(W-prime): a finite reserve of above-threshold effort that depletes as you spend it and only slowly refills, especially once youâre several hours and multiple efforts into a race. TrainerRoadâs breakdown of the anaerobic energy system puts it plainly: this is the system that powers efforts in the ten-to-thirty-second-plus range above threshold, and it responds to training the same way any other energy system does â specifically, deliberately, and not by accident.
What is anaerobic capacity, and why does it decide races like this one? Anaerobic capacity is your bodyâs finite reserve of above-threshold effort â the energy available for hard accelerations, attacks, and surges that exceed what your aerobic system alone can sustain. Unlike FTP, it doesnât refill quickly mid-ride. Riders who spend it wisely early have something left for the moment that decides the race; riders who donât, donât.
The problem is that most amateur training â and, frankly, most of the training advice on this exact race so far â optimizes for the wrong end of that reserve. Steady zone 2, sweet spot blocks, threshold intervals: all genuinely useful, all things weâd tell you to keep doing. None of them teach your body to produce a hard three-to-six-minute effort on legs that already have 165 kilometers in them. Thatâs a different adaptation, and it needs a different session.
If youâre building toward an event with a selective, late finale â a gran fondo with a punchy final climb, a road race that comes down to a late attack, even a group ride where the sprint always happens after the âhard partâ is supposedly over â training this capacity comes down to five things:
You donât need a Grand Tour finale to build this. Any long ride that finishes with real efforts â or a trainer session built the same way â trains the same adaptation Vollering showed off on the Camin de lâArieta.
Warm-up: 15 minutes progressive, building to endurance pace.
Main set:
Cool-down: 10-15 minutes easy.
Total time: 130-150 minutes.
The test: Compare your power in block 5 to block 3. A small drop is normal and expected â thatâs the reserve doing its job. A collapse to well below threshold, or an inability to hold the target at all, tells you the accumulated-fatigue block genuinely emptied the tank, which is useful information about where your anaerobic capacity actually sits right now, not where you assume it sits on fresh legs. If you havenât checked your numbers in a while, retest your FTP before setting targets â this session is demanding enough that a stale threshold will send you into block 3 either too soft to learn anything or too deep to finish block 5 at all.
This pairs naturally with the short, punchy climbing work we covered around Tirreno-Adriaticoâs muri stages earlier this year â that session trained explosive power on relatively fresh legs. This one trains the same energy system with the fatigue already baked in, which is the harder and, based on yesterday, more race-deciding version of the skill.
Most time-crunched riders who do intensity work do it early in a ride, because thatâs when the legs feel capable of hitting the numbers. Itâs a reasonable instinct â nobody wants to grind out a hard interval on legs that already feel cooked. But it also means a lot of amateur training never actually tests or builds the capacity that decides races like Stage 8: producing power when the tank is already low, not just when itâs full.
That doesnât mean throwing out early-ride intensity work. It means occasionally â once a week is plenty â putting the hard effort at the back end of a long ride instead of the front, on purpose, and being honest about how much smaller the number gets when itâs genuinely earned rather than fresh.
Vollering starts todayâs stage â four ascents of the Col dâĂze, the last one via the steeper Vinaigrier road, then a technical descent into Nice â with an 8-second cushion and, based on yesterday, evidence that she can still produce winning power deep into a hard day. Niewiadoma-Phinney starts it needing to find time back on a course that repeats the same climb she was distanced on less than 24 hours ago.
Eight seconds is not a lot of insurance over 99.2 kilometers and four categorized ascents. But the specific skill Vollering just demonstrated â real anaerobic power arriving late, after the legs have every reason to have nothing left â is exactly the skill this race has now shown twice matters more than raw climbing numbers in isolation. Whoever produces it again first this afternoon likely wins the Tour de France Femmes.
Steady climb pacing wins you consistency. Itâs still the foundation of everything we write about on this site, and itâs still the right thing to spend most of your training time on. But races â and a lot of the group rides and gran fondos that mimic them â are frequently decided by something else: who can still produce hard, sustained power once the aerobic system is already spent.
Thatâs not a skill you get by accident from doing more zone 2. Itâs a skill you build the same deliberate way youâd build an FTP number â with sessions specifically designed to ask your body for power after the fatigue is already real, not before it. Vollering trained for exactly that moment. Chasing a Strava segment at the end of a long Sunday ride, or a result at a local gran fondo, the lesson from Stage 8 holds either way: donât just train to hold your number. Train to still have one left when everyone else assumes you donât.
Stage 8 results and race narrative from Cyclingnewsâ coverage of Volleringâs Stage 8 attack and the official Tour de France Femmes rankings. Training targets are estimates based on power-based training principles â adjust for your own tested FTP and conditions.